Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov — Vienna Round of 32
Why
Surface+74 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cobolli F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1896Supports Cobolli F.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearSupports Cobolli F.
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Dimitrov G.
ELO2 052
Hard ELO1 789
Last 104–6
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $4.2M
ELO1 971
Hard ELO1 881
Last 105–5
Age35
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $32.3M2026 $761K
Flavio Cobolli faces Grigor Dimitrov in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. Flavio Cobolli is the paper favourite — ranked #6, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Grigor Dimitrov arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Flavio Cobolli's 2 of 6.
Key context
- Serve & return: Grigor Dimitrov leads on Serve Rating (38), Flavio Cobolli on Return Rating (36).
- Fatigue load: Flavio Cobolli carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Flavio Cobolli 2 of 6, Grigor Dimitrov 3 of 6 on hard recently — Grigor Dimitrov the sharper of late.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsCobolli F. and Dimitrov G. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Cobolli F. went 3–3 (50%) against them, Dimitrov G. 1–4 (20%). Cobolli F. came out better against 2 of 5 comparable opponents, Dimitrov G. against 0.
3–350%Cobolli F. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents1–420%Dimitrov G. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–8Sets5–11
66–70Games81–90
1–2Tiebreaks0–3
0–0Deciding sets1–2
vs Fery A.#34L4-6 6-7 0-6Wimbledon · grassL5-7 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-7Wimbledon · grass
vs Vallejo D.#54W6-3 6-2Madrid Masters · clayL4-6 4-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Collignon R.#55L5-7 3-6Miami Masters · hardL6-7 6-4 6-7Miami Masters · hard
Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Machac T.#72W6-1 6-4Paris Masters · hardL4-6 4-6 3-6Australian Open · hard
vs Atmane T.#98W7-6 6-3Rome Masters · clayW6-4 5-7 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Cobolli F.Dimitrov G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (36–24) (ahead)42% (13–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2052 (ahead)1971
Hard-court ELO17891881 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won72%76% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)35%
Aces / match6.38.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 59 vs 30 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)54%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov — Vienna Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/cobolli-vs-dimitrov-vienna-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).