UMPIRY
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Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Fritz T.
58%42%

Fritz T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Fritz T.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Tsitsipas S.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+36 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fritz T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1909Supports Fritz T.
Recent run3-match win streakSupports Fritz T.
Head-to-headLeads 5–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Tsitsipas S.
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearSupports Fritz T.
ELO2 123
Hard ELO1 956
Last 106–4
Age28
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $32.6M2026 $3.3M
ELO2 069
Hard ELO1 922
Last 107–3
Age28
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $38.2M2026 $1.4M

Taylor Fritz faces Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Taylor Fritz is the paper favourite — ranked #14, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 5 of their 7 previous meetings. Stefanos Tsitsipas brings the better recent hard form (5 of 7).

Key context

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months
All 9 opponents →

Fritz T. and Tsitsipas S. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fritz T. went 7–5 (58%) against them, Tsitsipas S. 6–4 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 3 better-results split).

7–558%Fritz T. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents6–460%Tsitsipas S. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
19–12Sets15–11
166–147Games133–128
3–2Tiebreaks5–0
0–3Deciding sets1–1
Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

7 meetings · Tsitsipas S. leads 5–2
Full H2H →
25

Hard: Tsitsipas S. leads 5–1 · Clay: Fritz T. leads 1–0

Evidence

Fritz T.Tsitsipas S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate66% (37–19) (ahead)64% (39–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2123 (ahead)2069
Hard-court ELO1956 (ahead)1922
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won79% (ahead)78%
Return points won35% (ahead)34%
Aces / match14.2 (ahead)7.8
ClutchLast 56 vs 58 matches
Break points saved70% (ahead)64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Partly cloudy
Wind4 km/h
Humidity68%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Fritz T.Tsitsipas S.
1Days since last match1
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
41 — fresherGames · 7 days65
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
93 — fresherGames · 14 days136
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/fritz-vs-tsitsipas-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).