UMPIRY
EN

Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo — European Open - Brussels Round of 16

European Open - BrusselsR16HardWed 21 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cerundolo F.
34%66%

Cerundolo F. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Damm M.4.8/10
Heavy underdog
Cerundolo F.6.9/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+223 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cerundolo F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1931Supports Cerundolo F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 856
Hard ELO1 745
Last 104–6
Age23
Height203 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $566K
ELO2 051
Hard ELO1 887
Last 106–4
Age28
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $2.9M

Martin Damm faces Francisco Cerundolo in the European Open - Brussels round of 16 on hard. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #21, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Damm M. and Cerundolo F. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Damm M. went 4–4 (50%) against them, Cerundolo F. 5–7 (42%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).

4–450%Damm M. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents5–742%Cerundolo F. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–8Sets13–18
78–78Games140–150
0–0Tiebreaks0–2
0–1Deciding sets1–2
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Damm M.Cerundolo F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (34–28)63% (35–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18562051 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17451887 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)70%
Return points won32%40% (ahead)
Aces / match12.2 (ahead)4.0
ClutchLast 59 vs 52 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Overcast
Wind21 km/h
Humidity81%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Damm M.Cerundolo F.
1Days since last match9 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
73Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
73Games · 14 days48 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo — European Open - Brussels Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/cerundolo-vs-damm-european-open-brussels-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).