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Yannick Hanfmann vs Martin Damm — European Open - Brussels Round of 32

European Open - BrusselsR32HardMon 19 Oct · 13:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hanfmann Y.6.0/10
Even match
Damm M.4.2/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+64 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Hanfmann Y.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1781Against the prediction · Hanfmann Y.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 924
Hard ELO1 764
Last 104–6
Age34
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.8M2026 $961K
ELO1 846
Hard ELO1 736
Last 104–6
Age23
Height203 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $566K

Yannick Hanfmann faces Martin Damm in the European Open - Brussels round of 32 on hard. Yannick Hanfmann holds the paper edge — ranked #57, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Hanfmann Y. and Damm M. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Hanfmann Y. went 2–5 (29%) against them, Damm M. 3–4 (43%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 1 better-results split).

2–529%Hanfmann Y. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–443%Damm M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–10Sets8–11
74–90Games88–97
2–1Tiebreaks3–1
0–1Deciding sets0–2
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hanfmann Y.Damm M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate53% (26–23)54% (33–28) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1924 (ahead)1846
Hard-court ELO1764 (ahead)1736
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won75%77% (ahead)
Return points won35% (ahead)32%
Aces / match9.212.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 44 vs 58 matches
Break points saved62%64% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity89%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hanfmann Y.Damm M.
9 — fresherDays since last match1
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days17
2Matches · 14 days2
59Games · 14 days52 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yannick Hanfmann vs Martin Damm — European Open - Brussels Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/damm-vs-hanfmann-european-open-brussels-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).