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Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth — Almaty Round of 32

AlmatyR32HardMon 19 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kecmanovic M.5.9/10
Even match
Duckworth J.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
What we know
Surface+117 Hard Elo edgeFavours Kecmanovic M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1768Favours Kecmanovic M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
This eventReached the semis here last yearFavours Duckworth J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 846
Hard ELO1 710
Last 103–7
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $980K
ELO1 845
Hard ELO1 721
Last 105–5
Age34
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.7M2026 $779K

Miomir Kecmanovic faces James Duckworth in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. Miomir Kecmanovic is the paper favourite — ranked #61, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but James Duckworth arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 10 on hard to Miomir Kecmanovic's 3 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Kecmanovic M. and Duckworth J. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kecmanovic M. went 2–7 (22%) against them, Duckworth J. 2–4 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

2–722%Kecmanovic M. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–433%Duckworth J. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–16Sets5–11
112–138Games73–86
2–1Tiebreaks0–3
1–5Deciding sets1–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kecmanovic M.Duckworth J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate43% (21–28)49% (25–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1846 (ahead)1845
Hard-court ELO17101721 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won72%75% (ahead)
Return points won36% (ahead)34%
Aces / match4.77.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 49 vs 46 matches
Break points saved64%70% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity31%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kecmanovic M.Duckworth J.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
1Matches · 7 days1
19 — fresherGames · 7 days20
3Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
55Games · 14 days42 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth — Almaty Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/duckworth-vs-kecmanovic-almaty-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).