Lorenzo Sonego vs James DuckworthWinston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
#91ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$448kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 3rd on
#79ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Sonego L.
5-7 3-6
Duckworth J.
Sonego L.
530
Duckworth J.
762

James Duckworth defeated Lorenzo Sonego 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Winston-Salem tournament. Duckworth converted two of six break points, while Sonego did not convert any. Duckworth served seven aces to Sonego's 10, and had one double fault to Sonego's three.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassLorenzo Sonego4-6 7-6 7-6
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassLorenzo Sonego6-3 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
73%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.0
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
50
27
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Clear edge
19
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
27
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Sonego L.62%
Duckworth J.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sonego L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1592
6.1Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1628
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
50

Sonego L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Duckworth J.: played today · 5 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw