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Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata — Almaty Round of 32

AlmatyR32HardMon 19 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Atmane T.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Hijikata R.5.9/10
Even match
What we know
Surface+20 Hard Elo edgeFavours Hijikata R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1748Favours Hijikata R.
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearFavours Hijikata R.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 868
Hard ELO1 764
Last 104–6
Age24
Height193 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $979K
ELO1 891
Hard ELO1 769
Last 104–6
Age25
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.4M2026 $815K

Terence Atmane faces Rinky Hijikata in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. Rinky Hijikata holds the paper edge — ranked #85, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Atmane T. and Hijikata R. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Atmane T. went 3–6 (33%) against them, Hijikata R. 2–5 (29%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 2 better-results split).

3–633%Atmane T. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents2–529%Hijikata R. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
12–17Sets5–11
136–155Games71–89
4–3Tiebreaks1–1
2–3Deciding sets0–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Atmane T.Hijikata R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate40% (18–27)55% (35–29) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18681891 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17641769 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)69%
Return points won30%37% (ahead)
Aces / match7.8 (ahead)4.6
ClutchLast 43 vs 55 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity31%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Atmane T.Hijikata R.
13 — fresherDays since last match11
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
1Matches · 14 days1
27Games · 14 days21 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata — Almaty Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/atmane-vs-hijikata-almaty-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).