Terence Atmane vs Jakub MensikMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
ROGERS COURT · 3rd on
#17ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLLWW
Atmane T.
5-7 4-6
Mensik J.
Atmane T.
540
Mensik J.
762

Jakub Mensik defeated Terence Atmane in the Round of 32 of the Montreal tournament on hard courts, winning 7-5, 6-4. Mensik served more efficiently, posting an 88% first-serve win percentage to Atmane's 77%, and converted two of 10 break points. Atmane hit 11 aces but also made five double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
11.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
96
Break points won·Dominant
23
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Atmane T.23%
Mensik J.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
7.7+219 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
71
61

Atmane T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Mensik J.: played today · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw