Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Ningbo Open - NingboQ16QualifyingHardSun 18 Oct · 11:00Center Court · Next on

Daria SnigurWTA #42 · UKR82%

VSStrong favourite · Snigur D.

Katarzyna KawaWTA #127 · POL18%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Snigur D.

82%18%

Clear edge for Snigur D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Snigur D.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Kawa K.3.8/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+249 Hard Elo edgeSupports Snigur D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1781Supports Snigur D.

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Snigur D.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 908

Hard ELO1 777

Last 105–5

Age24

Height173 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $877K

ELO1 717

Hard ELO1 517

Last 104–6

Age33

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $217K

Daria Snigur faces Katarzyna Kawa in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 16 on hard. Daria Snigur holds the paper edge — ranked #42, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Daria Snigur 72 games in 14 days, Katarzyna Kawa 0.
Under pressure: Daria Snigur has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 56 vs Katarzyna Kawa's 8).
Last match: Katarzyna Kawa advanced when Katie Volynets retired.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Snigur D. and Kawa K. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Snigur D. went 4–1 (80%) against them, Kawa K. 1–6 (14%). Snigur D. came out clearly better against 4 of 5 comparable opponents, Kawa K. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).

4–180%Snigur D. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents1–614%Kawa K. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

7–3Sets3–12

57–42Games53–82

0–1Tiebreaks0–1

1–0Deciding sets0–1

vs Svitolina E.#6W7-5 6-2Wimbledon · grassL2-6 1-6BJK Cup Qualifiers · hard
vs Kalinina A.#48L6-7 5-7Eastbourne · grassL5-7 2-6Antalya 125 2 · clay
vs Badosa P.#58W6-1s Hertogenbosch · grassL5-7 4-6Hamburg · clay

Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Udvardy P.#80W6-4 3-6 6-4s Hertogenbosch · grassL6-1 5-7 2-6Iasi · clay
vs Waltert S.#110W6-2 6-4Canberra 125 · hardL1-6 1-6Oeiras 125 · clay

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Snigur D. leads 2–0

Snigur D.September 2026BeijingHard3-6 6-4 7-5
Snigur D.January 2026Australian OpenHard6-1 2-6 6-2

Evidence

Snigur D.Kawa K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–54–6

Season win rate73% (46–17)54% (26–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19081717

Hard-court ELO17771517

Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 47 matches

1st-serve points won63%61%

Return points won48%47%

Aces / match1.31.7

ClutchLast 63 vs 47 matches

Break points saved57%53%

When it starts

Center Court · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

1This match: Snigur D. v Kawa K.This match
2Parks A. v Putintseva Y.Followed by
3Shi H. v Korneeva A.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast31°C · Clear

Wind16 km/h

Humidity59%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Snigur D.Kawa K.

3Days since last match17

2Matches · 7 days0

43Games · 7 days0

4Matches · 14 days0

72Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/kawa-vs-snigur-ningbo-open-ningbo-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).