Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Ningbo Open - NingboQ16QualifyingHardSun 18 Oct · ~14:00Center Court · After 2 matches

Han ShiWTA #217 · CHN33%

VSClear favourite · Korneeva A.

Alina KorneevaWTA #74 · RUS67%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Korneeva A.

33%67%

Clear edge for Korneeva A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Shi H.3.8/10

Heavy underdog

Korneeva A.6.6/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+446 Hard Elo edgeSupports Korneeva A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1724Supports Korneeva A.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Korneeva A.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Korneeva A.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 731

Hard ELO1 697

Last 107–3

Age21

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $264K2026 $75K

ELO1 883

Hard ELO1 764

Last 106–4

Age19

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $976K2026 $629K

Han Shi faces Alina Korneeva in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 16 on hard. Alina Korneeva holds the paper edge — ranked #74, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 450-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Han Shi comes in with 3 days of rest and 167 games in 14d, vs Alina Korneeva's 21 and 0.
Last match: Han Shi advanced when Magdalena Frech retired.
Last match: Alina Korneeva handed Jiali Dong a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–2 win.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Shi H. and Korneeva A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Shi H. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Korneeva A. 0–1 (0%).

1–0100%Shi H. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–10%Korneeva A. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–0Sets0–2

13–7Games2–12

1–0Tiebreaks0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Rakhimova K.#69W7-6(2) 6-1Wuhan · hardL1-6 1-6Angers 125 · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Korneeva A. leads 1–0

Korneeva A.July 2025W50 Corroios-Seixal 1Hard6-3 7-5

Evidence

Shi H.Korneeva A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–36–4

Season win rate67% (51–25)70% (42–18)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17311883

Hard-court ELO16971764

Serve vs returnLast 72 vs 57 matches

1st-serve points won63%64%

Return points won48%50%

Aces / match2.22.3

ClutchLast 72 vs 57 matches

Break points saved55%53%

When it starts

Center Court · After 2 matches · Followed by

1Snigur D. v Kawa K.Starting at 11:00 AM
2Parks A. v Putintseva Y.Followed by
3This match: Shi H. v Korneeva A.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court · ~14:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast33°C · Drizzle

Wind6 km/h

Humidity46%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Shi H.Korneeva A.

3Days since last match21

4Matches · 7 days0

97Games · 7 days0

7Matches · 14 days0

167Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/korneeva-vs-shi-ningbo-open-ningbo-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).