Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng — Wuhan Round of 128

WuhanR128HardTue 13 Oct · 10:00
VSClear favourite · Zheng Q.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Zheng Q.
21%79%

Clear edge for Zheng Q. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Li A.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Zheng Q.7.4/10
Dominant favourite
Why
Surface+86 Hard Elo edgeSupports Zheng Q.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1852Supports Zheng Q.
Recent run7-match win streakSupports Zheng Q.
This eventReached the R32 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Li A.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Li A.
ELO1 929
Hard ELO1 784
Last 107–3
Age26
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.4M
ELO2 103
Hard ELO2 026
Last 108–2
Age24
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.3M2026 $1.3M

Ann Li faces Qinwen Zheng in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Ann Li is the paper favourite — ranked #30, defending last year's round of 32 — but Qinwen Zheng rides a 7-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Ann Li comes in with 4 days of rest and 54 games in 14d, vs Qinwen Zheng's 1 and 159.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Qinwen Zheng has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 93 vs 48).
  • Win streak: Qinwen Zheng arrives on a 7-match winning run.

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Li A. and Zheng Q. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Li A. went 5–4 (56%) against them, Zheng Q. 4–6 (40%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

5–456%Li A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–640%Zheng Q. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–10Sets11–13
98–94Games116–127
1–2Tiebreaks3–0
1–0Deciding sets2–3
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Li A.Zheng Q.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (27–24)61% (25–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19292103 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17842026 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won69%75% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)40%
Aces / match5.18.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 48 vs 38 matches
Break points saved59%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast24°C · Clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity59%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Li A.Zheng Q.
4 — fresherDays since last match1
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
36 — fresherGames · 7 days102
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
54 — fresherGames · 14 days159
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/li-vs-zheng-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).