Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic | Wuhan Round of 128

UMPIRY

WuhanR128HardMon 12 Oct · ~14:00Dongfeng·Voyah Center Court · After 2 matches

Maria SakkariWTA #33 · GRE65%

VSSlight edge · Sakkari M.

Donna VekicWTA #40 · CRO35%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Sakkari M.

65%35%

Sakkari M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sakkari M.6.4/10

Marginal edge

Vekic D.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+60 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakkari M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1812Supports Sakkari M.

Head-to-headLeads 5–3 on hardAgainst the prediction · Vekic D.

This eventReached the R64 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Vekic D.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Sakkari M.

ELO1 923

Hard ELO1 805

Last 105–5

Age31

Height172 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $15.0M2026 $1.3M

ELO1 845

Hard ELO1 713

Last 102–8

Age30

Height179 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $11.0M2026 $816K

Maria Sakkari faces Donna Vekic in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. They have met 11 times, Donna Vekic leading 7–4, Donna Vekic ahead 5–3 on hard. Maria Sakkari brings the better recent hard form (5 of 9).

Key context

Under pressure: Maria Sakkari has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Donna Vekic's 33).
Head-to-head: Donna Vekic leads the head-to-head 7–4, 3–5 on hard. Last met at Monterrey 2025.
Surface form: Maria Sakkari 5 of 9, Donna Vekic 2 of 9 on hard recently — Maria Sakkari the sharper of late.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Sakkari M. and Vekic D. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sakkari M. went 3–6 (33%) against them, Vekic D. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

3–633%Sakkari M. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents4–450%Vekic D. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

9–14Sets10–9

91–114Games94–88

0–1Tiebreaks0–2

2–3Deciding sets2–3

vs Andreeva M.#5L0-6 4-6Australian Open · hardL6-4 3-6 0-6Australian Open · hard
vs Swiatek I.#9L6-4 1-6 1-6Cincinnati · hardL6-4 6-7(0) 2-6Beijing · hard
vs Osaka N.#17W6-4 6-2United Cup · hardL4-6Roland Garros · clay

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Gibson T.#37L1-6 6-4 2-6Singapore · hardW6-2 4-6 6-3US Open · hard
vs Pliskova K.#51L4-6 6-7Madrid · clayW7-5 6-4Linz · hard
vs Raducanu E.#100W6-3 3-6 6-1United Cup · hardW6-0London · grass
vs Krueger A.#73Hard to compareL6-2 3-6 4-6Osaka · hardL6-3 6-7 4-6Wimbledon · grass

Head-to-head

11 meetings · Vekic D. leads 7–4

Hard: Vekic D. leads 5–3 · Clay: Sakkari M. leads 1–0 · Grass: Vekic D. leads 2–0

Vekic D.August 2025MonterreyHard6-2 6-3
Sakkari M.April 2024MadridClay6-3 6-2
Vekic D.June 2023BerlinGrass6-4 7-6
Sakkari M.February 2023LinzHard6-3 7-6
Vekic D.October 2022San DiegoHard7-6 6-1

Evidence

Sakkari M.Vekic D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–52–8

Season win rate53% (23–20)55% (28–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19231845

Hard-court ELO18051713

Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 45 matches

1st-serve points won64%68%

Return points won42%42%

Aces / match3.13.4

ClutchLast 43 vs 45 matches

Break points saved58%58%

When it starts

Dongfeng·Voyah Center Court · After 2 matches · Followed by

1Alexandrova E. v Fernandez L.Starting at 11:00 AM
2Jovic I. v Pohankova M.Followed by
3This match: Sakkari M. v Vekic D.This match
4Wang X. v Wang X.Not before 7:30 PM
5Eala A. v Shi H.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Dongfeng·Voyah Center Court · ~14:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast29°C · Clear

Wind7 km/h

Humidity45%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Sakkari M.Vekic D.

6Days since last match6

1Matches · 7 days1

22Games · 7 days31

2Matches · 14 days2

38Games · 14 days56

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/sakkari-vs-vekic-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).