Talia Gibson vs Donna Vekic — US Open Round of 128
CRO
Gibson T.
Talia Gibson faces Donna Vekic in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Donna Vekic is the paper favourite — ranked #36, defending last year's round of 64 — but Talia Gibson arrives in form, winning 1 of their last 4 on hard to Donna Vekic's 0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Talia Gibson has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 74 vs Donna Vekic's 35).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Talia Gibson 56 games in 14 days, Donna Vekic 82.
- Surface form: Talia Gibson 1 of 4, Donna Vekic 0 of 4 on hard recently — Talia Gibson the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.