Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Shanghai Masters Round of 128
Mariano Navone faces Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. Mariano Navone holds the paper edge — ranked #47, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Mariano Navone 21 games in 14 days, Pablo Carreno Busta 58.
- Serve & return: Pablo Carreno Busta brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 28), Mariano Navone the stronger return game (Return Rating 100).
- Head-to-head: Mariano Navone leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Roland Garros 2024.
Serve flowNavone M. broken twice · Carreno-Busta P. broken twice.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsNavone M.Carreno-Busta P.Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- SETSet 2 · Game 12Carreno-Busta P. took the set
- BREAKSet 2 · Game 12Carreno-Busta P. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 8Navone M. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 7Carreno-Busta P. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 4Navone M. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 3Carreno-Busta P. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 2Navone M. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 1Carreno-Busta P. held to love
- SETSet 1 · Game 10Navone M. took the set
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 9Navone M. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Navone M. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 3Carreno-Busta P. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 2Carreno-Busta P. broke serve
Carreno-Busta P. came in with the higher hard rating (1782 vs 1634); Navone M. with the better recent record (5–5 vs 4–6) and the head-to-head lead (1–0).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playCommon opponents
3 shared · last 12 monthsNavone M. and Carreno-Busta P. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Navone M. went 3–1 (75%) against them, Carreno-Busta P. 1–3 (25%). Only 2 of the comparisons are context-comparable — too few for a conclusion.
Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
vs Mensik J.#15L3-6 6-2 4-6 6-1Roland Garros · clayL5-7 6-4 6-2 6-7 3-6Australian Open · hard
vs Berrettini M.#46W6-3 6-7(5) 6-3Montreal · hardL3-6 4-6ITA vs ESP · hard
vs Struff J.#59Hard to compareW6-0 6-3Kitzbuhel · clayW6-4 7-6ESP vs GER · hard
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Shanghai Masters Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/busta-vs-navone-shanghai-masters-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).