Justin Boulais vs Matisse Bobichon — Rennes Qualifying Round of 16
Boulais J.
Justin Boulais faces Matisse Bobichon in the Rennes qualifying round of 16 on hard. Justin Boulais is the paper favourite — ranked #403 — but Matisse Bobichon arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Justin Boulais's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Justin Boulais 67 games in 14 days, Matisse Bobichon 96.
- Last match: Matisse Bobichon dropped just 6 games past Alex Kobelt.
- Surface form: Justin Boulais 4 of 10, Matisse Bobichon 6 of 10 on hard recently — Matisse Bobichon the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBoulais J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Bobichon M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on LE LIBERTE · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.