Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes De La TorreRennes Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#307ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
$99kYTD
$347kCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLLWL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
#274ATP
1579ELO
1519Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$137kCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWWW
Cassone M.
vs
Montes De La Torre I.

Murphy Cassone faces Inaki Montes De La Torre in the Rennes round of 32 on hard. Inaki Montes De La Torre holds the paper edge — ranked #274, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Cassone M.34%
Montes De La Torre I.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Montes De La Torre I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1579
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cassone M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Montes De La Torre I.

Montes De La Torre I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cassone M.

Serve advantage — Montes De La Torre I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
31
35
Break points saved·Dominant
88
60
Break points won·Dominant
18
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
15
24
Tiebreaks·
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Montes De La Torre I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw