David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain — Rennes Round of 32
Jorda Sanchis D.
David Jorda Sanchis faces Lucas Poullain in the Rennes round of 32 on hard. David Jorda Sanchis is the paper favourite — ranked #192, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Lucas Poullain arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on hard to David Jorda Sanchis's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Poullain L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: David Jorda Sanchis 32 games in 14 days, Lucas Poullain 18.
- Under pressure: David Jorda Sanchis has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 38 vs Lucas Poullain's 11).
- Surface form: David Jorda Sanchis 1 of 5, Lucas Poullain 2 of 5 on hard recently — Lucas Poullain the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJorda Sanchis D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Poullain L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.