Nikola Slavic vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2

SWE

Nikola Slavic

#792ATP

$9kYTD

$40kCAREER

25 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLLWWWL

—

Sets

Monday, 14 September 2026 · 10:00

hard

FRA

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

#595ATP

$13kYTD

$51kCAREER

26 yrs

Last 10

WLWWWLLWWW

Slavic N.

Ghazouani Durand Y.

Nikola Slavic faces Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Rennes qualifying round 2 on hard. Yanis Ghazouani Durand holds the paper edge — ranked #595. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC

Slavic N.39%

Ghazouani Durand Y.61%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ghazouani Durand Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Yanis Ghazouani Durand's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Nikola Slavic's has cooled.
Last match: Nikola Slavic edged Karl Poling in three tight sets (7–6 6–7 7–6).
Fatigue load: Yanis Ghazouani Durand carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

6 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season

Slavic N.Ghazouani Durand Y.

1st serve in·Even

63%

60%

1st serve points won·Even

63%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

46%

Service points won·Even

55%

58%

Return points won·Even

42%

Break points saved·Slight edge

49%

59%

Aces / match·Slight edge

4.3

3.1

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.7

4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Slavic N.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ghazouani Durand Y.

Ghazouani Durand Y.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Slavic N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Slavic N.Ghazouani Durand Y.

Freshness·

—

Ghazouani Durand Y.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

18°COvercast

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Nikola Slavic vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Rennes Qualifying Round 2