Karl Poling vs Nikola SlavicRennes Qualifying Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#459ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
$27kYTD
$90kCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
LE LIBERTE · 1st on
#792ATP
$9kYTD
$40kCAREER
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Poling K.
6-7 7-6 6-7
Slavic N.
Poling K.
6578651
Slavic N.
7766772

Nikola Slavic defeated Karl Poling in a qualifying second-round match at the Rennes tournament, winning 7-6, 6-7, 7-6. Slavic served 12 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 57 percent of break points and securing 4 service breaks. Poling had 3 aces, 4 double faults, 50 percent break point conversion, and also 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Poling K.7/13
Slavic N.12/23

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-19M15 Vaxjo 1R16hardKarl Poling6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Poling K.50%
Slavic N.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Poling K.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw