Ugo Blanchet vs Billy Harris — Rennes Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRA
Ugo Blanchet
#199ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$122kYTD
$993kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLLL
—
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
Billy Harris
GBR4
Billy Harris
#161ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$357kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWLLL
Blanchet U.
vs
Harris B.

Ugo Blanchet faces Billy Harris in the Rennes round of 32 on hard. Billy Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #161. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Blanchet U.66%
Harris B.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Blanchet U. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Ugo Blanchet 76 games in 14 days, Billy Harris 130.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Blanchet U. 0–2 · Harris B. 0–2 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Blanchet U.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Harris B.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1473
5.2Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
Blanchet U.Harris B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blanchet U.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Harris B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Blanchet U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Blanchet U.Harris B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
22
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
74
Break points won·Clear edge
15
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Blanchet U.Harris B.
Freshness·Even
65
68

Blanchet U.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Harris B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw