Anastasia Potapova vs Tereza Valentova — US Open Round of 128
Potapova A.
Anastasia Potapova faces Tereza Valentova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Anastasia Potapova is the paper favourite — ranked #25, defending last year's round of 64 — but Tereza Valentova arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Anastasia Potapova's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Anastasia Potapova comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Tereza Valentova's 2 and 116.
- Surface form: Anastasia Potapova 1 of 4, Tereza Valentova 3 of 4 on hard recently — Tereza Valentova the sharper of late.
- Stage: Anastasia Potapova defends last year's round of 64; Tereza Valentova defends last year's round of 64.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadPotapova A.: 15 days rest · Valentova T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.