Francisco Comesana vs Flavio CobolliUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#119ATP
1695ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
2 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 2nd on
#6ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLL
Comesana F.
6-3 6-2 3-6 4-6 4-6
Cobolli F.
Comesana F.
663442
Cobolli F.
326663

Flavio Cobolli defeated Francisco Comesana in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4. Both players hit 6 service breaks, with Cobolli converting 33% of break points and Comesana converting 32%, and the aces and double faults were 7 to 12 and 5 to 7 respectively in favor of Cobolli and Comesana.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR64clayFlavio Cobolli7-5 2-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.2
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
75
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
95
Break points won·Clear edge
16
38
Deciding sets·Dominant
2
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Comesana F.27%
Cobolli F.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cobolli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO
7.1+168 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1695
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1896
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.83 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
63

Comesana F.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw