Jan Lennard Struff defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Struff. He hit 15 aces and 3 double faults, converting 71% of break points and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Ugo Carabelli's 7 aces, 13 double faults, 33% break point conversion, and 1 service break.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
No previous meetings on record.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Slight edge · Lennard Struff J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Ugo Carabelli C.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lennard Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About