Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Umag Round of 16
Carreno Busta P.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Pablo Carreno Busta in the Round of 16 at the Umag tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 in favor of Ugo Carabelli. This win advanced Ugo Carabelli to the next round.
Key context
- Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped the opening set before beating Pablo Carreno Busta 3–6 7–5 7–5.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | R128 | clay | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 1-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadCarreno Busta P.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About