Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Rome Masters Round of 128

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESPQ
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-2 1-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6162
Carreno Busta P.
2631

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-2 1-6 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno Busta P.
24
Serve
—
36
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Even
78
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Even
62
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ugo Carabelli C.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
4.7+26 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Slight edge
97
90

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%
Final
Alcaraz C.[3]
Sinner J.[1]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Paul T.[11]
1-66-06-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Musetti L.[8]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[5]
6-46-4
Paul T.[11]
Hurkacz H.[30]
7-646-3
Musetti L.[8]
Zverev A.[2]
7-616-4
Sinner J.[1]
Ruud C.[6]
6-06-1
R16
Musetti L.[8]
Medvedev D.[10]
7-56-4
Paul T.[11]
De Minaur A.[7]
7-56-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Khachanov K.[23]
6-33-67-5
Zverev A.[2]
Fils A.[13]
7-636-1
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo F.[17]
7-626-3
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[30]
Mensik J.[20]
7-654-67-65
Draper J.[5]
Moutet C.
1-66-46-3
R32
Ruud C.[6]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-52-0
Hurkacz H.[30]
Giron M.
6-31-66-1
Fils A.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[18]
2-66-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Machac T.[19]
6-36-756-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Djere L.
7-626-2
Munar J.
Korda S.[22]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[10]
Popyrin A.[24]
6-46-1
Draper J.[5]
Kopriva V.
6-46-3
De Minaur A.[7]
Dellien H.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Rune H.[9]
7-55-77-64
Mensik J.[20]
Marozsan F.
6-47-62
Sinner J.[1]
De Jong J.
6-46-2
Khachanov K.[23]
Passaro F.
6-36-0
Cerundolo F.[17]
Ofner S.
6-26-4
Musetti L.[8]
Nakashima B.[28]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[2]
Gaubas V.
6-46-0
R64
De Minaur A.[7]
Nardi L.
6-47-5
Moutet C.
Humbert U.[21]
6-34-0
Giron M.
Fritz T.[4]
7-647-63
Popyrin A.[24]
Taberner C.
6-17-64
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[14]
7-56-3
Nakashima B.[28]
Thompson J.
W/O
Sinner J.[1]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Marozsan F.
Rublev A.[16]
7-54-66-3
Khachanov K.[23]
Burruchaga R.
6-45-76-1
Munar J.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-1
Djere L.
Michelsen A.[31]
6-06-3
Draper J.[5]
Darderi L.
6-16-4
Tsitsipas S.[18]
Muller A.
6-27-63
Ruud C.[6]
Bublik A.
6-44-66-3
Dellien H.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[25]
6-06-2
Korda S.[22]
Vukic A.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[20]
Gigante M.
7-647-5
Kopriva V.
Baez S.[32]
3-66-46-4
Medvedev D.[10]
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-16-4
Machac T.[19]
Tien L.
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Virtanen O.
6-36-2
Rune H.[9]
Comesana F.
3-66-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-26-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Gaubas V.
Shapovalov D.[27]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
Fearnley J.
6-47-60
Hurkacz H.[30]
Martinez P.
6-17-5
Fils A.[13]
Griekspoor T.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Tiafoe F.[15]
6-26-726-3
Cerundolo F.[17]
Jarry N.
7-646-3
R128
Ofner S.
Carballes Baena R.
6-30-0
Gigante M.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-64
Virtanen O.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Passaro F.
Tseng C.
6-02-66-3
Giron M.
Diallo G.
3-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Shevchenko A.
6-26-4
Norrie C.
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-0
Navone M.
Cina F.
6-36-3
Darderi L.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-3
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-626-2
Muller A.
Lehecka J.
2-66-37-65
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-14-66-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Carreno Busta P.
6-21-66-3
Jarry N.
Gaston H.
7-646-4
Comesana F.
Altmaier D.
6-17-5
Lajovic D.
Nishioka Y.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Barrios Vera T.
4-66-27-5
Djere L.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Tien L.
Opelka R.
6-47-611
Kopriva V.
Halys Q.
6-46-3
Gaubas V.
Dzumhur D.
7-632-66-4
Taberner C.
Kovacevic A.
6-31-67-5
Nardi L.
Cobolli F.
6-36-4
Fearnley J.
Fognini F.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Hijikata R.
3-66-17-5
Martinez P.
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Bautista Agut R.
Arnaldi M.
6-46-3
Burruchaga R.
Sonego L.
6-26-3
Bublik A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
3-66-37-65
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
6-37-64