Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#59ATP
1759ELO
1642Hard ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#32ATP
1812ELO
1766Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-5 6-3
Etcheverry T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
762
Etcheverry T.
530

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-5 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Martin Etcheverry came in ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Camilo Ugo Carabelli claimed a first win over Tomas Martin Etcheverry in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardTomas Martin Etcheverry6-3 6-2 6-0
2025-05-18HamburgR16clayTomas Martin Etcheverry6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Etcheverry T.

Etcheverry T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T.
0
Serve
51
5
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Dominant
62
36
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO
6.9+124 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
3.6
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Etcheverry T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%