Renata Zarazua vs Mccartney KesslerMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#83WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#47WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
Zarazua R.
6-4 6-1
Kessler M.
Zarazua R.
662
Kessler M.
410

Renata Zarazua defeated Mccartney Kessler in the Round of 32 of the Memphis tournament on hard courts, winning 6-4, 6-1. Zarazua had zero aces and one double fault, while Kessler had four of each. Zarazua converted 55% of her break points and broke Kessler's serve six times, compared to Kessler's two breaks.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-16StrasbourgSFclayMccartney Kessler7-5 6-2
2024-06-27WimbledonQ32grassMccartney Kessler3-6 6-3 6-2
2023-10-07W60 RomeSFhardMccartney Kessler6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
9
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
5
29
Break points won·Even
86
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
85
Tiebreaks·Even
6
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Zarazua R.36%
Kessler M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kessler M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1639
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1663
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1808
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
2.72 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3Won 72% in Usa (173)
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in Usa (105)
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw