Tiago Pereira vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezPozoblanco Quarter-final

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#379ATP
1179ELO
1142Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLWLL
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
#492ATP
1293ELO
1262Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWLWW
Pereira T.
vs
Sanchez Quilez A.

Tiago Pereira faces Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Pozoblanco quarter-final on hard. Tiago Pereira holds the paper edge — ranked #379.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Pereira T.22%
Sanchez Quilez A.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sanchez Quilez A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1142
Surface ELO
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1293
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.92 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.05 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Pereira T.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Sanchez Quilez A.

Sanchez Quilez A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pereira T.

Serve advantage — Sanchez Quilez A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
85

Pereira T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Sanchez Quilez A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
36°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 17%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.