Yi Zhou vs Tiago PereiraPozoblanco Round of 16

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#236ATP
1456ELO
1445Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#379ATP
1179ELO
1142Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLLW
Zhou Y.
vs
Pereira T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC
Zhou Y.89%
Pereira T.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zhou Y. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+302 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1142
8.5Overall Elo 1456
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1179
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.22 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Zhou Y.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
47%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhou Y.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Pereira T.

Pereira T.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Zhou Y.

Serve advantage — Zhou Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
76

Zhou Y.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Pereira T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
35°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 16%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.