Maximus Jones vs Ilya Ivashka — Pozoblanco Round of 32
Jones M.
Maximus Jones faces Ilya Ivashka in the Pozoblanco round of 32 on hard. Maximus Jones is the paper favourite — ranked #419 — but Ilya Ivashka arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Maximus Jones's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ivashka I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Maximus Jones 5 of 10, Ilya Ivashka 8 of 10 on hard recently — Ilya Ivashka the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadIvashka I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.