Kilian Feldbausch vs Ioannis XilasTroyes Round of 16

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#288ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
#362ATP
1337ELO
1339Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
WLLLLLWLLL
Feldbausch K.
vs
Xilas I.

Kilian Feldbausch faces Ioannis Xilas in the Troyes round of 16 on clay. Kilian Feldbausch holds the paper edge — ranked #288, a roughly 260-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Feldbausch K.90%
Xilas I.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Feldbausch K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.2+260 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1339
8.5Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1337
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.62 of last 9 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
46%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Feldbausch K.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Xilas I.

Xilas I.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Feldbausch K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Feldbausch K.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.