Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Liam Draxl — Cary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
INDQ
Dhakshineswar Suresh
#475ATP
1611ELO
1563Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
hard
Liam Draxl
CAN2
Liam Draxl
#158ATP
1589ELO
1563Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWWL
Suresh D.
vs
Draxl L.

Dhakshineswar Suresh faces Liam Draxl in the Cary round of 32 on hard. Liam Draxl is the paper favourite — ranked #158 — but Dhakshineswar Suresh arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 8 on hard to Liam Draxl's 6.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Suresh D.41%
Draxl L.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Draxl L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Suresh D.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Draxl L.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1563
5.3Overall Elo 1611
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1589
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Suresh D.Not enough recent matches
Draxl L.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

3 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
Suresh D.Draxl L.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
80%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.3
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Suresh D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Draxl L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Suresh D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Suresh D.Draxl L.
Freshness·Even
89
93

Suresh D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Draxl L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.