Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 16

ITA

Luciano Darderi

#17ATP

1839ELO

1621Grass ELO

$1.3MYTD

$4.7MCAREER

24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWWLWWWW

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Sets

Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

GER

Yannick Hanfmann

#59ATP

1774ELO

1639Grass ELO

$552kYTD

$4.4MCAREER

34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLWLLWLL

Darderi L.

Hanfmann Y.

Luciano Darderi faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Luciano Darderi holds the paper edge — ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 5–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC

Darderi L.52%

Hanfmann Y.48%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Serve & return: Yannick Hanfmann brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 52), Luciano Darderi the stronger return game (Return Rating 56).
Last match: Yannick Hanfmann won all two sets in tiebreaks against Adolfo Daniel Vallejo.
Head-to-head: Luciano Darderi leads the head-to-head 5–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hamburg 2026.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Darderi L.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Hanfmann Y.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.8Grass Elo 1621

Surface ELO

5.2+19 Grass Elo edge

5.8Overall Elo 1839

ELO gap

4.2Overall Elo 1774

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

4.04 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.96 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Darderi L.Stable

Hanfmann Y.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season

Darderi L.Hanfmann Y.

1st serve in·Slight edge

57%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

74%

2nd serve points won·Even

50%

54%

Service points won·Even

63%

66%

Return points won·Even

38%

37%

Break points saved·Even

56%

60%

Aces / match·Slight edge

6.5

7.5

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.5

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Darderi L.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Darderi L.Hanfmann Y.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Even

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Darderi L.Hanfmann Y.

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Serve

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Return

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Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load

Darderi L.Hanfmann Y.

Freshness·

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Hanfmann Y.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

32°CClear

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 34%

Head to head

5–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-05-20	Hamburg	R16	clay	Luciano Darderi	7.9-6.7 7-5
2026-05-08	Rome Masters	R64	clay	Luciano Darderi	4-6 4-6
2026-02-23	Santiago	F	clay	Luciano Darderi	7-6(6) 7-5
2024-02-05	Cordoba	QF	clay	Luciano Darderi	7-6(2) 6-1
2023-02-06	Cordoba	Q1	clay	Luciano Darderi	6-3 6-4