Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaAsuncion 2 Round of 16

Asuncion 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#408ATP
1298ELO
1290Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
clay
#383ATP
1325ELO
1316Clay ELO
26 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWLLL
Ambrogi L.
vs
Rodriguez Taverna S.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi faces Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna in the Asuncion 2 round of 16 on clay. Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna is the paper favourite — ranked #383, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 8 on clay to Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna's 3.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1290
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1298
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1325
8.2Leads 3–0 on clay
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on clay
8.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ambrogi L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rodriguez Taverna S.

Rodriguez Taverna S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ambrogi L.

Serve advantage — Ambrogi L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
37
Break points saved·Dominant
27
72
Break points won·Dominant
45
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
7
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
81

Ambrogi L.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 121 games (7d) · Rodriguez Taverna S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.