Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro — Asuncion 2 Round of 32
Asuncion 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#462ATP
1226ELO
1217Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWWLL
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez faces Eduardo Ribeiro in the Asuncion 2 round of 32 on clay. Eduardo Ribeiro holds the paper edge — ranked #386, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage.
Key context
- Surface form: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3 of 10, Eduardo Ribeiro 5 of 10 on clay recently — Eduardo Ribeiro the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCRodriguez L.23%
Ribeiro E.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Ribeiro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1217
Surface ELO7.2+177 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1226
ELO gap7.2Overall Elo 1402
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form67%1st serve in+5%62%
65%1st serve points won+1%64%
46%2nd serve points won+8%54%
59%Service points won+1%60%
41%Return points won41%
57%Break points saved+1%58%
1.6Aces / match+0.72.3
2.8Double faults / match+1.71.1
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.