Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria — Asuncion 2 Round of 32
Kicker N.Nicolas Kicker faces Federico Coria in the Asuncion 2 round of 32 on clay. Federico Coria is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage — but Nicolas Kicker arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Federico Coria's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Coria F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Federico Coria has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 68 vs Nicolas Kicker's 29).
- Surface form: Nicolas Kicker 7 of 10, Federico Coria 4 of 10 on clay recently — Nicolas Kicker the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Federico Coria leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Lyon 2018.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-21 | Lyon | R32 | clay | Federico Coria | 4-6 6-1 7-5 |