Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez — Asuncion 2 Round of 32
Asuncion 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Carlos Maria Zarate faces Juan Sebastian Gomez in the Asuncion 2 round of 32 on clay. Carlos Maria Zarate is the paper favourite — ranked #467 — but Juan Sebastian Gomez arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Carlos Maria Zarate's 4.
Key context
- Surface form: Carlos Maria Zarate 4 of 8, Juan Sebastian Gomez 5 of 8 on clay recently — Juan Sebastian Gomez the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Carlos Maria Zarate carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCZarate C.47%
Gomez J.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1149
Surface ELO6.0+79 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1163
ELO gap5.9Overall Elo 1238
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.86 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form58%1st serve in+10%68%
65%1st serve points won+2%63%
47%2nd serve points won+4%43%
57%Service points won57%
40%Return points won+2%42%
60%Break points saved+9%51%
2.8Aces / match+1.11.7
3.2Double faults / match+1.44.6
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.