Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu — London Round of 16

London · WTA · Round of 16

ROU

Sorana Cirstea

#18WTA

1959ELO

1685Grass ELO

$890kYTD

$12MCAREER

36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

GBR

Emma Raducanu

#42WTA

1806ELO

1694Grass ELO

$386kYTD

$6.3MCAREER

23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sorana Cirstea faces Emma Raducanu in the London round of 16 on grass. Sorana Cirstea holds the paper edge — ranked #18. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Emma Raducanu ahead 1–0 on grass.

Key context

Last match: Emma Raducanu handed Anna Blinkova a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 0–1 on grass. Last met at Cluj-Napoca 2026.
Fatigue load: Sorana Cirstea carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Cirstea S.75%

Raducanu E.25%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cirstea S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Cirstea S.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Raducanu E.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.9Grass Elo 1685

Surface ELO

5.1+9 Grass Elo edge

6.8Overall Elo 1959

ELO gap

3.2Overall Elo 1806

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

2.93 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.37 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.5Won 41% in GBR (41)

Country comfort

8.1Home country · 13/19 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.