Casper Ruud vs Alexander BublikRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#12ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Ruud C.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Bublik A.
Ruud C.
6462
Bublik A.
4631

Casper Ruud defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's round of 64. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-23BaselR32hardCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-1 4-6 7-6(0)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 6-2
2022-03-04Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NORRRhardAlexander Bublik6-4 5-7 6-4
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-4 6-0
2021-05-03Madrid MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-5 6-1
2019-09-16St. PetersburgR32carpetCasper Ruud6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ruud C.Bublik A.
54
Serve
55
69
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
68%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
10.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
75
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+151 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1822
5.2Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
5.7
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
66

Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%