Alexander Bublik vs Casper RuudDavis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NOR Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NOR · ATP · Round Robin
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 4 March 2022
hard
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Bublik A.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Ruud C.
Bublik A.
6562
Ruud C.
4741

Alexander Bublik defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NOR round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in leading the head-to-head 7–0. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in eight meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Bublik edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

07
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 4-6 6-3
2023-10-23BaselR32hardCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-1 4-6 7-6(0)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 6-2
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-4 6-0
2021-05-03Madrid MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-5 6-1
2019-09-16St. PetersburgR32carpetCasper Ruud6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Ruud C.
65
Serve
59
25
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
67
75
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 25 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1837
Surface ELO
5.1+52 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1983
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
100

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About