Casper Ruud vs Alexander BublikRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Ruud C.
6-1 4-6 7-6
Bublik A.
Ruud C.
64772
Bublik A.
16601

Casper Ruud defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 4-6 7-6 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's semi-final. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 7–6.

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 4-6 6-3
2023-10-23BaselR32hardCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-2
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 6-2
2022-03-04Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NORRRhardAlexander Bublik6-4 5-7 6-4
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-4 6-0
2021-05-03Madrid MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-5 6-1
2019-09-16St. PetersburgR32carpetCasper Ruud6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve advantage — Ruud C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ruud C.Bublik A.
58
Serve
43
70
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
75
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+151 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1822
5.2Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
4.8
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
78

Ruud C.: 15 days rest · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%