Casper Ruud vs Alexander BublikBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Ruud C.
7-6 6-2
Bublik A.
Ruud C.
7762
Bublik A.
6520

Casper Ruud defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-2 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's round of 32. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 4-6 6-3
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-1 4-6 7-6(0)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 6-2
2022-03-04Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NORRRhardAlexander Bublik6-4 5-7 6-4
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-4 6-0
2021-05-03Madrid MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-5 6-1
2019-09-16St. PetersburgR32carpetCasper Ruud6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Bublik A.
59
Serve
65
31
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
75
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1837
5.2Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1889
6.7
H2H
3.3
5.9
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
66

Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast