Casper Ruud vs Alexander BublikParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Ruud C.
6-4 6-0
Bublik A.
Ruud C.
662
Bublik A.
400

Casper Ruud defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-0 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's round of 64. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 4-6 6-3
2023-10-23BaselR32hardCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-1 4-6 7-6(0)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 6-2
2022-03-04Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NORRRhardAlexander Bublik6-4 5-7 6-4
2021-05-03Madrid MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-5 6-1
2019-09-16St. PetersburgR32carpetCasper Ruud6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Bublik A.
59
Serve
65
31
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
75
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1837
5.2Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
74

Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 71%