Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica PegulaStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Quarter-final
#19WTA
1844ELO
1737Clay ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Alexandrova E.
6-0 6-4
Pegula J.
Alexandrova E.
662
Pegula J.
040

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-0 6-4 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–2, but Ekaterina Alexandrova had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardJessica Pegula7-5 3-6 6-3
2025-03-31CharlestonSFclayJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 7-5
2025-02-09DohaQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-1 6-1
2024-03-18MiamiQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova3-6 6-4 6-4
2021-05-10RomeR16clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alexandrova E.Pegula J.
Serve
67
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
96
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1737
Surface ELO
7.2+205 Clay Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.6
Surface form
9.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
5.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
76

Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 70%