Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica PegulaMiami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Alexandrova E.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Pegula J.
Alexandrova E.
3662
Pegula J.
6441

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jessica Pegula 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's semi-final. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardJessica Pegula7-5 3-6 6-3
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayEkaterina Alexandrova6-0 6-4
2025-03-31CharlestonSFclayJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 7-5
2025-02-09DohaQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-1 6-1
2021-05-10RomeR16clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 173). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
96
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
86
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
43
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
67

Alexandrova E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw