Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaCharleston Semi-final

Charleston · WTA · Semi-final
#3WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#19WTA
1844ELO
1737Clay ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Pegula J.
6-2 2-6 7-5
Alexandrova E.
Pegula J.
6272
Alexandrova E.
2651

Jessica Pegula defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 2-6 7-5 in the Charleston semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 7–5.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardJessica Pegula7-5 3-6 6-3
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayEkaterina Alexandrova6-0 6-4
2025-02-09DohaQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-1 6-1
2024-03-18MiamiQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova3-6 6-4 6-4
2021-05-10RomeR16clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Alexandrova E.
67
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
65
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+205 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1737
8.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
1.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
9.1
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
8.1
Country comfort
4.9
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
91

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%