

Alex De Minaur defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Rotterdam quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 3-6 7-6(8) |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-0 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-02-13 | Rotterdam | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | R32 | clay | Andrey Rublev | 2-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2018-11-05 | NextGen Finals | RR | hard | Alex De Minaur | 4-1 3-4(5) 4-1 4-2 |
| 2018-07-30 | Washington | SF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 5-7 7-6(6) 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About