Andrey Rublev vs Alex De MinaurMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 April 2022
clay
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Rublev A.
2-6 6-1 6-4
De Minaur A.
Rublev A.
2662
De Minaur A.
6141

Andrey Rublev defeated Alex De Minaur 2-6 6-1 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 64. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DohaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 7-6(8)
2024-02-12RotterdamQFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(5) 4-6 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-0
2023-10-30Paris MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev4-6 6-3 6-1
2023-02-13RotterdamR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-1 3-4(5) 4-1 4-2
2018-07-30WashingtonSFhardAlex De Minaur5-7 7-6(6) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.De Minaur A.
14
Serve
62
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
72
97
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+3 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Clay Elo 1869
3.8Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
77

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 40%