Matteo Arnaldi defeated Alexei Popyrin 7-5 2-6 6-4 in the AUS vs ITA round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | R32 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | R128 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | SF | clay | Alexei Popyrin | 6-7 7-5 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 171). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Arnaldi M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About