Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina — Cincinnati Round of 16
Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 17 August 2023 ·
hard
#61WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLLWW
Sabalenka A.6-3 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kasatkina D.
330
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–2, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 11–2.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka dropped just 6 games past Daria Kasatkina.
Head to head
10–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 7-5 |
| 2024-06-17 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-09-04 | US Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022-08-01 | San Jose | QF | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 4-6 7-5 6-0 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2021-02-10 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2021-02-08 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2020-10-01 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(6) 6-0 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6 6-0 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | R32 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
100
49
Break points saved·Dominant
89
10
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
9
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
100
78
Sabalenka A.: 21 days rest · Kasatkina D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast